Donald Trump winning the presidential elections has shocked many people around the world. Especially people who are in the business of calling the shots in the elections are startled by the results. Most of them predicted that Hillary would win and walk away with the title as “The President”. Well, sadly all of them had predicted it wrong except Allan Lichtman.
Allan Lichtman is a historian working at the American University and he was the first to declare that Donald Trump would will the elections. Even during the final weeks of the campaign. Lichtman stuck to his predictions. He based his predictions according to a set of 13 questions that have been designed in the true or false format. These questions gauged the performance of the party that was holding the White House.
According to Lichtman, elections are a judgement of the government’s governance skills. The drama of the rest of the election season virtually has no meaning. He also said that people do not count for the twists and turns, the speeches, debates and other campaign tricks.
The coverage by the media about the elections resembles that of a horse race. The deciding factor is who has had a good day and who hasn’t. The pollsters end up making money by keeping tabs on the horse race as to who is ahead and who is ranking behind. The fact that it is dealt with in this manner makes it misleading.
Lichtman has been successful in predicting the winners for the ninth time in a row. He hopes that this makes people rethink about the way election and politics are looked at. He hopes that in near future, politics, history and governance is brought together before making their decision to vote and not based on the media hype surrounding the elections.
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